David Gordon : First Word Last Word and How Hype It Is
The Gartner Hype Cycle and the concept of First Word vs. Last Word art describe the same phenomenon. If one were to put Classical Symphonic Form (CSF) into the Gartner Hype Cycle model, Haydn’s work would have put CSF on the map, at the very beginning of the “Innovation Trigger” area. Beethoven’s Ninth Symphony, in turn, would be the piece which finally pushed CSF into the Plateau of Productivity.
I found it funny that Virtual Reality is expected to plateau within the next 10 years. My dream and life goal, a fully immersive virtual reality which is indistinguishable from real life, is most certainly more than a couple decades away. It has been sitting within the trough of disillusionment for years and years, and I believe that it will not plateau until other technologies essential for achieving its full potential, such as the Brain Computer Interface, catch up with it. While within the trough, such technologies are quite cheap to come by, as they were mass produced during the peak of inflated expectations and are now in abundance due to lack of demand.